0x459723abb52cfa6653c9d4739289742f98e3d8a4
0x459723abb52cfa6653c9d4739289742f98e3d8a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$31.00
Total PnL
$-142.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?
16 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$15.61
$12.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$14.39
$11.80
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
51 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.33
$-0.03
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
24 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.28
$-0.01
- YES
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.16
$-0.07
- YES
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
24 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.16
$-0.01
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
54 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.08
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on March 22?
988 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-23.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 35°F or below on March 23?
421 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-8.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 22?
337 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$0.23Mar 31, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$0.52Mar 31, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$0.52Mar 31, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$0.52Mar 31, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?$2.74Mar 31, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on April 3?$1.08Mar 31, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?$0.95Mar 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?$1.15Mar 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$0.18Mar 30, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$0.16Mar 30, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?$0.63Mar 30, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?$1.19Mar 30, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?$0.17Mar 30, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?$0.77Mar 30, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 1?$1.62Mar 30, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$1.10Mar 30, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$0.50Mar 30, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$1.60Mar 30, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$1.58Mar 29, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April?$0.28Mar 28, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".