Periodic-Fill
0x459f0bdd2bb0f237ee2000b77101b33875c3e250
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$21.47
Total PnL
$-80.43
Realised
$9.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$9.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
57 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 16.4¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
15 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-0.67
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 24?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.19Jun 4, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.08Jun 3, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.08Jun 3, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 3, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.13Jun 2, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 2, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$6.56May 24, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.28May 24, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$5.23May 24, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$7.57May 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$5.27May 22, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.40May 21, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$6.52May 21, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$5.22May 21, 14:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$9.49May 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$5.30May 21, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.98May 20, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$2.10May 20, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.16May 20, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.10May 20, 14:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 06:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.