All-Discipline
0x459f8ecfc0f127ddc17b3ef31676df52d7d2d658
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
159
Open notional
$67.33
Total PnL
$-24.2K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 159- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.73
$0.73
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 83.9¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be between $150B and $200B at market close on IPO day?
4 shares @ 94.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.97
$0.21
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.89
$0.22
- NO
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$0.03
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$0.04
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.20
$0.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$7.97Jun 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$7.51Jun 13, 11:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?$1.90Jun 12, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?$2.15Jun 12, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?$1.51Jun 12, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$10.50Jun 12, 18:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$11.11Jun 1, 13:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $5.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.