Tricky-Height
0x45b00eb640a22827cda65ed7490e04c8ca71ceeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.62
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$786.80
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
1 shares @ 20.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.62
$0.37
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?
5000 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-469.99
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
2891 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-524.05
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?
2492 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-224.34
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?
2374 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-421.34
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?
1906 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-317.49
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
1823 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-133.06
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
1665 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-470.67
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
1500 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-462.57
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in May?
1400 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-212.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$111.24Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$293.03Jun 20, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$692.72Jun 19, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$993.76Jun 19, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$47.82Jun 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$74.00Jun 10, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$172.37Jun 9, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$275.12Jun 9, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?$0.25Jun 2, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$29.26Jun 2, 03:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.08Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$137.99Jun 1, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$34.02Jun 1, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$2.10Jun 1, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$70.00Jun 1, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?$11.18Jun 1, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$364.64Jun 1, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$9.18May 31, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$7.00May 31, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in June?$1.83May 31, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $120.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.