Lost-Macadamia
0x45b39e1f71e47fd4afe4b988ffad690b644735bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$364.8K
Total PnL
$35.6K
Realised
$27.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
203897 shares @ 79.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$184.5K
$22.4K
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
76588 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.2K
$-38.29
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
67650 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$67.0K
$2.6K
- NO
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
20000 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.9K
$390.00
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
13175 shares @ 92.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.1K
$958.28
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
3452 shares @ 93.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.4K
$169.23
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
2950 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$148.97
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
1767 shares @ 94.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$83.95
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
2520 shares @ 34.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$390.59
$-466.78
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
404 shares @ 87.1¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$379.52
$27.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$6.29Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$6.30Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$6.29Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$6.31Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$6.32Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$6.33Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$6.34Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$6.34Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$6.35Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$9.00Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$6.35Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$6.36Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.77Jun 2, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$7.21Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$3.0KJun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by May 31?$3.8KJun 1, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$7.76Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$7.78May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$7.78May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$7.79May 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $694.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.