Crooked-Tabernacle
0x45bc74efa620b45c02308acaecdff1f7c06f978b
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$78.1K
Total PnL
$-158.5K
Realised
$20.9K
Win rate
61%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$30.6K
$10.6K
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
16400 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.3K
$105.94
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
40000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.4K
$-10.6K
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.4K
$92.23
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5123 shares @ 85.9¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$237.98
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
4000 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.0K
$66.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
3506 shares @ 95.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.4K
$48.60
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.5K
$11.25
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2000 shares @ 78.2¢·now 86.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.7K
$171.15
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$64.00
$-11.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$217.37Jun 15, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$66.37Jun 15, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$417.13Jun 15, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$578.40Jun 15, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$410.20Jun 15, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$199.00Jun 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.63Jun 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$10.84Jun 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$55.96Jun 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$18.50Jun 15, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$57.00Jun 15, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$337.77Jun 15, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$53.23Jun 15, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$669.90Jun 15, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$0.90Jun 15, 01:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$480.60Jun 15, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$141.00Jun 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$478.50Jun 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.3KJun 15, 00:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$27.85Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$10.0K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jun 4, 00:40 UTC → Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
- BUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.0K@100¢Jun 4, 00:35 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$10.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $223.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 02:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.