Lovely-Collision
0x45bdd2fa37accb555688cdb6b64851c72fbad20a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$15.38
Total PnL
$-99.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$15.38
$5.38
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?
187 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends by March 26, 2026?
84 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Allah again by April 30?$20.00Apr 21, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$14.60Apr 1, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends by March 26, 2026?$5.00Mar 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen by March 31?$10.00Mar 19, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$10.00Mar 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$10.00Mar 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?$10.00Mar 18, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$10.00Mar 18, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$10.00Mar 18, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Mar 18, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?$10.00Mar 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$10.00Mar 18, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $10.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 13:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.