Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$740.13
Liquidity
$20.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 111.4h
- 08:38SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 111h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 8¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 9¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 6¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 6¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 7¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 6¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 7¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 10¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 9¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 9¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 11¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 11¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 11¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 11¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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