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PoliticsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$740.13

Liquidity

$20.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-14.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 111.4h

    LOW
  • 08:38Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 111h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises Allah between the time of its creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Donald Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence for the Islamic deity referred to as Allah. This can include direct praise (e.g., “Praise be to Allah”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“Allah is great”). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “Yes, I posted about Allah”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. Text or speech contained in images, memes, or videos posted by Trump on his official social media accounts will qualify if it clearly expresses approval, admiration, respect, or reverence toward Allah, provided that any additional posted commentary from Trump does not explicitly contradict that sentiment. Media contained only within reposts or posts quoted by Trump will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).