Aged-Wombat
0x45dbbf4fed6c845f4e857edc6e744236501c8f65
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$159.29
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
5000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$824.99
$25.11
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
2500 shares @ 54.6¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$462.50
$-902.75
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
5000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$225.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
400 shares @ 81.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$182.00
$-145.41
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 33.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$180.00
$-810.26
- YES
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
600 shares @ 64.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$126.00
$-261.42
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$36.00
$-51.61
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
3500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$5.25
$-29.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$350.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$0.0916d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$274.7116d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$548.5116d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$320.5716d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$267.0316d ago
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$800.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$5.7416d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$44.4716d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$4.5616d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$4.5616d ago
- TRADEBUYWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$268.0016d ago
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$74.2516d ago
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$144.8416d ago
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.1K17d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$7.0218d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$35.0018d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.0018d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.1018d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.0018d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $112.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23d ago
- Last active
- 15d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.