Dual-Cephalopod
0x460a20d648c4601abfcd0c71ec37eb6dfd26d738
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$17.7K
Total PnL
$2.4K
Realised
$165.70
Win rate
60%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4346 shares @ 30.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.8K
$2.5K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1983 shares @ 59.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.9K
$778.11
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
3716 shares @ 39.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.7K
$269.21
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
890 shares @ 67.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$849.48
$252.57
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
1020 shares @ 64.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$846.60
$193.25
- YES
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
3011 shares @ 17.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$737.79
$221.29
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
890 shares @ 56.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$716.45
$214.84
- NO
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1701 shares @ 32.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$671.87
$121.22
- NO
Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?
738 shares @ 71.9¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$594.09
$63.13
- NO
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
1115 shares @ 60.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$563.12
$-109.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.05Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$5.45Jun 14, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.02Jun 13, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.79Jun 13, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$3.39Jun 13, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$4.96Jun 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.79Jun 13, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.99Jun 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$3.30Jun 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$7.08Jun 13, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$12.80Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$20.07Jun 13, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.89Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.69Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.80Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$7.08Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$10.70Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$6.20Jun 13, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?$3.40Jun 13, 22:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.