Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
Probability
45¢
1h
-4.0pp
24h
-8.0pp
24h Vol
$1.8K
Liquidity
$39.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6000.5h
- 23:31SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Momentum down
Probability moved down 8.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 23:31SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6000h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 45¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 49¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 49¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 49¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 49¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 49¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 51¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 48¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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