Dangerous-Wingman
0x460dfd93fca8d43ce6a4d828b16bb6f63eea8ddb
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
0%
58 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?
4785 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.50
- YES
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?
2237 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?
1847 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.21
- NO
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
1719 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-53.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6PM ET
1691 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-77.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?
1543 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?
1504 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?$25.80May 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 13?$21.38May 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 13?$21.36May 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?$10.61May 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 13?$10.61May 13, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?$9.85May 12, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?$50.22May 10, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?$55.61May 7, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.32May 7, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$32.28May 7, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$10.57May 7, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.64May 7, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$4.22May 7, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$45.68May 7, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$16.43May 7, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.07May 6, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6PM ET$82.94May 6, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 2?$52.33May 3, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" at The Villages on May 1?$3.00May 1, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ballroom" at The Villages on May 1?$5.19May 1, 22:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 58 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
58 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $20.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 17:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 58 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.