Baggy-Vol
0x46171493f6c6b07b574a15c1db683a1e8162e1e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$106.11
Total PnL
$-152.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of July 6 2026?
106 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$106.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 17?
770 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4?
761 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 18?
730 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 11?
729 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
713 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?
705 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?
696 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20?
696 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 12?
696 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.70 Week of July 6 2026?$106.00Jul 10, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNB dip to $400 in June?$106.43Jul 10, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB dip to $400 in June?$106.03Jun 30, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on May 31?$10.81Jun 30, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.41Jun 30, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$13.91Jun 30, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$69.01Jun 30, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$68.87May 31, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYVicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Lukas Neumayer$3.88May 31, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)$8.97May 31, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$63.76May 31, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$63.51May 30, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$62.93May 30, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$63.00May 30, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)$7.05May 30, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on May 31?$10.80May 30, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$9.97May 30, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$71.49May 30, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$71.29May 29, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.40May 29, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $64.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.