Striped-Vase
0x4628133c534a444245295caa96de951718a071ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$39.07
Total PnL
$-71.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
23 shares @ 34.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$16.65
$8.65
- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
88 shares @ 34.1¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.19
$-23.81
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
2 shares @ 89.5¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.82
$-0.18
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 71.9¢·now 9.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.49
$-9.51
- NAMIBIA
Namibia T20 Tri-Series: Namibia vs Hong Kong, China
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 64.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.36
$-0.64
- YES
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
3 shares @ 77.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.30
$-0.70
- ALEXANDROVA/NOSKOVA
Grass Court Championships (Doubles): Alexandrova/Noskova vs Eikeri/Gleason
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.25
$-3.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open (Doubles): Jiang/Xu vs Mihalikova/Nicholls$1.00Jun 22, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrass Court Championships (Doubles): Alexandrova/Noskova vs Eikeri/Gleason$1.01Jun 22, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamibia T20 Tri-Series: Namibia vs Hong Kong, China$1.01Jun 22, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Asia Pacific Champions Trophy: Singapore vs Uzbekistan$1.00Jun 22, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$1.01Jun 22, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaider$1.01Jun 22, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?$1.02Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.03Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.03Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.04Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$1.06Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.07Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?$1.09Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$1.10Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$1.10Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$1.11Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Egg" during the next White House press briefing?$1.15Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?$1.16Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$1.18Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.18Jun 22, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.