Misty-Uncle
0x4662b015defa79c9fc251a4cc7917ea0a9039fc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$133.13
Total PnL
$-168.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
133 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$133.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
3145 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.29
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?
2818 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.26
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?
2279 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?
1170 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 15?
807 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 24?
770 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
751 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 12?
729 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $50 in June?$133.01Jun 30, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?$12.61Jun 30, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heritage win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$12.91Jun 30, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMFoggia: Elizara Yaneva vs Lisa Pigato$13.87Jun 30, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$94.36Jun 30, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$94.27Jun 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFoggia: Elizara Yaneva vs Lisa Pigato$8.56Jun 1, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or below on May 30?$10.81Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$92.02Jun 1, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$91.93May 31, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ENCE vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group D$12.05May 31, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$79.86May 31, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$79.56May 30, 05:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?$78.90May 30, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series?$79.01May 30, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ENCE vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group D$5.39May 30, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on May 31?$12.60May 30, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$97.70May 30, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$97.60May 29, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C or below on May 30?$10.80May 29, 08:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $85.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 06:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 11:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.