Jealous-Revitalisation
0x4680bc44efc5807f9eb9ec3fc729ef768f2c937d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$70.75
Total PnL
$-75.79
Realised
$-3.84
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- BARBORA KREJCIKOVA
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Qinwen Zheng
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$7.14
$2.14
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 56.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.31
$2.31
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 20?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.44
$0.44
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3 shares @ 86.5¢·now 95.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$3.27
$0.26
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
4 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.10
$0.11
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3 shares @ 88.3¢·now 90.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.06
$0.06
- CHRISTIAN LEROY DUNCAN
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$3.04
$0.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$3.03Jul 21, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLEstoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$3.72Jul 21, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEstoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga$3.12Jul 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$2.21Jul 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$3.10Jul 21, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$2.68Jul 21, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$3.13Jul 21, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.23Jul 21, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$3.17Jul 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$0.50Jul 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$3.17Jul 21, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$2.34Jul 21, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$3.08Jul 20, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$3.11Jul 20, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$1.16Jul 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$3.00Jul 20, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$1.13Jul 20, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$3.07Jul 20, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$2.29Jul 20, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$2.12Jul 20, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 21:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 15:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.