Caring-Need
0x46d13c5f56b2f6e2cc58c801edf3c42b8b7c46d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$145.15
Total PnL
$-98.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of July 6 2026?
145 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$145.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5?
1067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 23?
868 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.74
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 6?
800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
782 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 23?
761 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 9?
761 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 15?
747 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 23?
741 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of July 6 2026?$145.01Jul 9, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$145.15Jul 9, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$145.01Jun 26, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers$8.67Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$10.51Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on June 1?$11.51Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$114.11Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$114.00Jun 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers$5.26Jun 1, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMKansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers$8.08Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$11.32Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$100.10Jun 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$100.00May 31, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers$4.26May 31, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on June 1?$11.50May 31, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$115.92May 31, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$115.80May 29, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$10.50May 29, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$126.13May 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$126.01May 28, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $79.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 12:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.