Trusting-Buzz
0x46d3d62ab3dd01fb8dc3b16f0141462c82df62e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$-29.4K
Realised
$195.26
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
5000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$2.4K
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
9000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.6K
$-225.90
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
10000 shares @ 46.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$105.00
$-4.6K
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$100.00
$47.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
18859 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.2K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
18000 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
15000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
13486 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
12000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
10000 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1.8KJun 3, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$471.47Jun 3, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.4KJun 1, 23:47 UTC
- REWARD$4.22May 31, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$356.46May 30, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.90May 30, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$22.75May 30, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$22.75May 30, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.81May 30, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00May 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$975.00May 30, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3.00May 30, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.00May 30, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$400.00May 30, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.74May 30, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$52.00May 30, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$9.10May 30, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$52.00May 30, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$125.00May 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00May 30, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $202.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 17:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.