Total-Headline
0x472b110eb5befcc0bbd27a38453b224cfc431f42
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$45.77
Total PnL
$-22.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
205 shares @ 8.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.52
$-0.55
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.78
$2.78
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
13 shares @ 38.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.49
$-0.51
- NO
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.39
$-1.61
- YES
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.15
$-1.85
- YES
Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?
13 shares @ 39.3¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.92
$-2.08
- NO
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.52
$-3.48
- YES
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
1595 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
327 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
69 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cookie" this week?$5.12May 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Traitor" this week?$5.08May 17, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Cuba" this week?$5.09May 17, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$5.12May 17, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?$5.10May 17, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$10.00May 17, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$36.06May 17, 03:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$2.06May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$1.64May 16, 15:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$5.23May 15, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.21May 15, 09:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?$4.72May 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$20.45May 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$25.20May 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia win Eurovision 2026?$3.35May 13, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$2.80May 13, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $9.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 03:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".