Impolite-Campus
0x474cce8cd7208310347048df8b1dd8158936ac44
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$70.46
Total PnL
$37.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will South Korea concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
214 shares @ 0.5¢·now 18.8¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$40.18
$39.18
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6 shares @ 86.3¢·now 86.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 81.2¢·now 76.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Jordan concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 4.1¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$3.19
$2.19
- YES
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 26.1¢·now 27.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.03Jun 15, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.03Jun 14, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.04Jun 14, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$1.03Jun 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$1.03Jun 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$1.03Jun 14, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15?$1.06Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 15?$1.06Jun 14, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1.00Jun 14, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 1 World Cup match?$1.02Jun 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$1.01Jun 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14?$2.58Jun 14, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?$2.02Jun 14, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.02Jun 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03Jun 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.04Jun 14, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$1.03Jun 14, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jun 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.02Jun 14, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 05:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.