Similar-Icon
0x4760e2f427455fc52be34b1f5209f88b8ffb91cd
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-444.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
246 shares @ 89.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$243.38
$23.38
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
240 shares @ 83.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$188.08
$-11.91
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
215 shares @ 72.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$175.33
$20.33
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
182 shares @ 87.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$166.55
$6.55
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
129 shares @ 77.4¢·now 89.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$116.08
$16.08
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
96 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$92.06
$2.06
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
109 shares @ 82.5¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.67
$-3.33
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
57 shares @ 87.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$45.69
$-4.31
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?
45 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$42.27
$2.27
- YES
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
42 shares @ 96.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$37.92
$-2.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$0.395h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$50.159h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$40.1317h ago
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$40.1317h ago
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 8?$131.351d ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?$52.521d ago
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$20.111d ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$10.451d ago
- REDEEMKnicks vs. 76ers$41.671d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$30.121d ago
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$30.252d ago
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 16, 2026?$40.192d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$36.612d ago
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?$52.632d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$50.382d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?$0.062d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 8?$21.512d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?$50.372d ago
- REDEEMLakers vs. Thunder$102.272d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?$35.113d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $40.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
