Upright-Macaroon
0x4771a283068cf15db7d1fab3924c516180a014d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.07
Total PnL
$-85.09
Realised
$-25.22
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?
10 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.13
- NO
Will Trump dance today?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 21?
152 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
134 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.04
- YES
No token launch by April 30
134 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 22?
131 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
120 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
16 shares @ 95.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.00May 24, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.11May 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.13May 21, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.13May 18, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.15May 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.16May 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit North Korea by June 30?$0.20May 18, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?$0.21May 13, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?$4.04May 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?$1.41May 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?$3.00May 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 12?$2.50May 12, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?$2.70May 12, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on May 12?$2.02May 12, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?$2.02May 12, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11?$4.99May 11, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11?$3.95May 9, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.98May 9, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?$1.23May 8, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?$1.00May 8, 13:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.