0x4778a5dc99a67b7c8504a85516cb998480e84b24
0x4778a5dc99a67b7c8504a85516cb998480e84b24
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.83
Total PnL
$-4.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$2.40
$0.84
- NO
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.43
$0.23
- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- YES
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
3 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?$3.92Mar 30, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.81Mar 30, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.56Mar 30, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.89Mar 30, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.27Mar 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.38Mar 29, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$1.20Mar 29, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.03Mar 29, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?$1.68Mar 29, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$6.20Mar 29, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 21:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.