0x4783bd21936d56098f3785b184225ef2e861dc2c
0x4783bd21936d56098f3785b184225ef2e861dc2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$13.28
Total PnL
$-3.68
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
12 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$11.97
$0.12
- NO
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
10 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$3.82Apr 16, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$3.95Apr 16, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$3.95Apr 16, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$3.95Apr 16, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$2.55Apr 16, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Apr 15, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$0.00Apr 15, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.00Apr 15, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$0.10Apr 15, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$3.95Apr 15, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$15.91Apr 15, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$4.82Apr 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$3.95Mar 1, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$3.95Mar 1, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$3.95Mar 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$3.95Mar 1, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$16.03Mar 1, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.95Mar 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3.95Mar 1, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.