Forsaken-Outhouse
0x47ab026767cc320ac6e62f6ec747d59cf4d795df
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$329.9K
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$-5.4K
Win rate
53%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- NO
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
125000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$123.7K
$61.2K
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
49619 shares @ 90.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$45.9K
$795.45
- NO
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
31125 shares @ 84.3¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.6K
$2.4K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
19500 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$19.2K
$1.7K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
15000 shares @ 96.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.9K
$407.58
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
12505 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.4K
$264.78
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$10.3K
$436.48
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
11437 shares @ 65.9¢·now 89.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.2K
$2.7K
- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
7741 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.6K
$32.86
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
5000 shares @ 95.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.9K
$182.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.41Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.20Jun 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.20Jun 13, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.05Jun 13, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?$239.22Jun 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.20Jun 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.05Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.24Jun 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.02Jun 13, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.05Jun 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.23Jun 13, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.20Jun 13, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$89.79Jun 13, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the World Cup?$352.02Jun 13, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the World Cup?$37.96Jun 13, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the World Cup?$130.23Jun 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the World Cup?$669.66Jun 13, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the World Cup?$217.50Jun 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the World Cup?$267.02Jun 13, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the World Cup?$156.12Jun 13, 01:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $110.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.