Downright-Crop
0x4807dbbdd6fe7c5fbaf990e1beb19882fed3cadb
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$444.75
Total PnL
$-5.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
100 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$98.55
$0.65
- NO
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$97.95
$-0.15
- NO
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
100 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$97.85
$-0.25
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
100 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.40
$-0.80
- YES
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
1000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$55.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$99.00May 6, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner$4.68May 6, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner$7.32May 6, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner$13.60May 6, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 6?$95.19May 6, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$97.90May 6, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$100.00May 6, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$100.00May 6, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$35.32Apr 19, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$60.88Apr 19, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$99.30Apr 19, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$99.00Apr 19, 10:13 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2025-10-13?$0.00Apr 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by October 31?$0.00Apr 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$0.00Apr 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$0.00Apr 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill no leader be out in 2025?$0.00Apr 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on October 12?$0.00Apr 19, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$0.00Apr 19, 10:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $44.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 15:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".