Gleeful-Jeep
0x4826380097b1b72f08390dbc72151e8396904c18
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$90.70
Total PnL
$-52.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
57 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.97
$12.81
- NO
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
34 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$33.82
$13.19
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.91
$-14.09
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
162 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.34
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
23 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.00Mar 9, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$20.63Mar 9, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$10.00Mar 9, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by December 31?$20.00Mar 9, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$20.00Mar 9, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.05Feb 28, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$32.29Feb 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$33.33Feb 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$38.16Feb 9, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$40.00Feb 9, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$100.00Feb 9, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Feb 9, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$77.27Feb 9, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$101.90Feb 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$40.18Jul 14, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$40.18Jul 14, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00Jul 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.14Jul 2, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.14Jul 2, 20:20 UTC
- REDEEMFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$0.00Jul 2, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $25.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 20:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.