Austere-Vernacular
0x482bf5accdecfaffa67c14d4d4fbb59f428a3266
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$11.5K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$463.04
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
3666 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.7K
$-1.83
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
3111 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.1K
$7.78
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3666 shares @ 50.0¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.1K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3666 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$610.39
$-1.2K
- NO
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
460 shares @ 86.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$420.90
$21.00
- YES
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
342 shares @ 33.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$179.35
$64.05
- DPLUS KIA CHALLENGERS
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
409 shares @ 44.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$178.00
$-2.05
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
365 shares @ 41.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$133.07
$-16.41
- DN SOOPERS CHALLENGERS
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
200 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$133.00
$1.00
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
142 shares @ 23.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.59
$-2.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$16.09May 17, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$79.59May 17, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$36.69May 17, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$10.45May 17, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$4.97May 17, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2$183.07May 17, 09:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.37May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.50May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$1.68May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$149.15May 16, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$199.99May 16, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Global Esports vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs$274.51May 16, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season$419.55May 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$23.43May 16, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$6.30May 16, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$6.11May 16, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$18.01May 16, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$114.15May 16, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$8.30May 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$61.26May 16, 11:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $156.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 11:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".