Wallet profile

Austere-Vernacular

0x482bf5accdecfaffa67c14d4d4fbb59f428a3266

activity 91/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

91/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

159

Open notional

$8.7K

Total PnL

$644.09

Realised

$19.5K

Win rate

50%

32 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 159

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$26.9K

Trades

2

Buy share

49%

Window

Jun 3, 23:50 UTC → Jul 1, 08:52 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $13.8K

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

57/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

50% win rate over 32 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

49 live trades, 3 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

32 closed markets, 50% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$13.8K

1 trades

30d volume

$13.8K

1 trades

Buy share

49%

Sample

limited

3 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

$13.8K · 51% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?51% of recorded volume$13.8KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?25% of recorded volume$6.7KWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?24% of recorded volume$6.4K

Profile dimensions

Activity72 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry49 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk43 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
49
Avg trade size
$8.42
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
Last active
Jul 4, 00:50 UTC
Win rate sample
32 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 00:52:30 UTC·src:Polymarket Data