0x482cf22c36b7abf516a102dc8d06bc0992f197a6
0x482cf22c36b7abf516a102dc8d06bc0992f197a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$108.92
Total PnL
$-1.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.23
$3.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.80
$0.89
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.61
$0.71
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.57
$0.66
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$9.64
$-0.36
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$7.85
$0.05
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
13 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.47
$-0.20
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
11 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$6.92
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
15 shares @ 47.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.83
$-0.22
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
9 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.70
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.64Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$1.68Jun 13, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 12, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Chair" during June Press Conference?$2.17Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?$7.89Jun 11, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$3.05Jun 8, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$2.53Jun 5, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00Jun 4, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 31?$7.37Jun 1, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$1.65Jun 1, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2.37May 31, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 27?$8.13May 31, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?$1.92May 31, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$1.86May 30, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$7.09May 30, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$13.10May 30, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?$1.96May 28, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$4.08May 27, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?$6.56May 27, 22:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 07:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.