Roasted-Campanile
0x484623482dc73a807dc4165f6b00c5e968d84f12
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$64.16
Total PnL
$-159.88
Realised
$7.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
70 shares @ 92.2¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.16
$-0.39
- YES
Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
8500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-8.50
- YES
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?
3688 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Joanna Senyszyn be the next President of Poland?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
1531 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$12.91May 22, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$4.61May 21, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$27.66May 21, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$19.36May 19, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$10.40May 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.50Apr 4, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Momentum Movement (Momentum) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$4.00Apr 4, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?$12.00Mar 10, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.25Feb 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.90Feb 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.83Feb 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.75Feb 23, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.69Feb 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.70Feb 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.78Feb 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.98Feb 23, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.67Feb 23, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.76Feb 23, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.79Feb 23, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.67Feb 23, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $77.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 08:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".