Acrobatic-Soliloquy
0x489e69b629cdd40b9b5dfaaf63a78dae6f188c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$50.25
Total PnL
$-113.34
Realised
$1.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
18 shares @ 56.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.61
$1.61
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.44
$0.44
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.76
$-0.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
84 shares @ 5.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.65
$4.70
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
136 shares @ 7.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.70
$-8.30
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?
123 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.48
$-3.52
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 21.7¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.29
$0.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.83
$-0.17
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$5.28May 17, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 17, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 17, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 17, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?$10.46May 17, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.04May 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?$1.04May 17, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 17, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Calendar" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 17, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Apple" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 17, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 17, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Karl" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Gold" or "Golden" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 17, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$5.20May 17, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?$1.04May 17, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?$5.19May 17, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.27May 17, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.34May 17, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.32May 17, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$5.33May 17, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".