Calm-Supervision
0x48afe8fbde091ff3e616901dc92ef20862c289cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$3.3K
Total PnL
$-33.7K
Realised
$-5.1K
Win rate
50%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$-86.00
- NO
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
287 shares @ 54.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$230.65
$73.65
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
129 shares @ 34.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.30
$43.92
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4955 shares @ 3.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$71.85
$-91.67
- YES
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 13.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.40
$-23.60
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
13 shares @ 34.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.29
$7.69
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.42
$-19.57
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
33014 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-680.65
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
25000 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-827.27
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$3.03Jun 9, 18:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$128.00Jun 5, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.6KJun 5, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$680.00Jun 5, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$5.1KJun 5, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$707.85Jun 5, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.4KJun 5, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.9KJun 5, 22:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.