Hoarse-Default
0x4910842d27c641e6c23c6680c115da4db100c095
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$71.4K
Total PnL
$-52.7K
Realised
$-16.5K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
55000 shares @ 93.4¢·now 93.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.5K
$119.51
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
20000 shares @ 96.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$19.4K
$200.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3000 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$225.00
$-495.00
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
1000 shares @ 19.9¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$164.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
1010 shares @ 39.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$66.66
$-332.99
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
1000 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.50
$-4.50
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
2 shares @ 94.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.71
$0.08
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
32334 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.7K
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
6600 shares @ 89.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$4.58Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$4.59Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$4.58Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$4.56Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.56Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.58Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.57Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.58Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.59Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.0KJun 5, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$4.59Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$4.59Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$4.58Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$5.19Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.63Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$5.63May 31, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$1.8KMay 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$207.62May 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$1.10May 30, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by June 30?$1.90May 30, 12:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $90.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.