Ashamed-Wok
0x49161f6833d0be67e00b0ed06477536134f4f56f
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$900.27
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$349.66
Win rate
100%
111 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
40 shares @ 40.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$38.00
$21.65
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?
40 shares @ 74.3¢·now 75.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$30.03
$0.33
- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
40 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$28.99
$2.20
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 32.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.20
$15.40
- NO
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?
39 shares @ 33.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$24.08
$11.14
- NO
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
40 shares @ 60.5¢·now 58.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$23.43
$-0.76
- NO
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
39 shares @ 66.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.05
$-4.68
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
40 shares @ 54.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$21.00
$-0.94
- YES
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027?
40 shares @ 65.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$20.20
$-5.93
- YES
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $29B?
40 shares @ 69.7¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$18.80
$-9.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLReya FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.78Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$4.33Jun 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?$5.61Jun 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$3.47Jun 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?$2.95Jun 13, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.57Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?$2.56Jun 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?$1.13Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by June 30?$0.97Jun 13, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.80Jun 13, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$5.06Jun 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$9.68Jun 13, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$8.26Jun 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?$3.19Jun 13, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$11.74Jun 13, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$9.40Jun 13, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?$9.11Jun 13, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?$9.41Jun 13, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$0.86Jun 13, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$1.15Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 111 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.