Elated-Corduroy
0x492490c1403eb4aab63fbdf79ed4183c393af404
Quality score
64/100
Open positions
51
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-306.63
Win rate
23%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
633 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$414.62
$-3.17
- YES
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
486 shares @ 81.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$371.79
$-21.87
- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
889 shares @ 30.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$315.59
$48.89
- CENTRAL ARKANSAS BEARS
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lions
288 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$288.00
$69.12
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
153 shares @ 84.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$153.00
$24.33
- YES
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
64 shares @ 59.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.04
$9.28
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
280 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$46.20
$-4.20
- YES
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 86.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.40
$-1.50
- NO
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.90
$3.00
- YES
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.39
$0.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$384.2013d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$434.4013d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$7.3513d ago
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$90.3014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$445.2614d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$135.4515d ago
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$235.7216d ago
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$278.3216d ago
- TRADESELLWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$65.8916d ago
- TRADESELLWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$0.8816d ago
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$629.8817d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$393.6617d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$457.5518d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$84.9818d ago
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$0.4618d ago
- REDEEMBased FDV above $2B one day after launch?$50.0018d ago
- REDEEMUNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougars$112.0018d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$206.7225d ago
- TRADESELLWill AD Pasto win on 2026-04-11?$425.2525d ago
- TRADESELLWill AD Pasto win on 2026-04-11?$71.8225d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $239.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 37d ago
- Last active
- 13d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.