Grounded-Bottling
0x4927c94bab53edae07c186d23b3d29daf1fd0f32
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$332.16
Total PnL
$-57.08
Realised
$30.30
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
203 shares @ 27.3¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.90
$11.65
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
148 shares @ 33.8¢·now 38.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$57.02
$7.02
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
68 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.35
$1.35
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
46 shares @ 32.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$23.33
$8.33
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.62
$-2.38
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?
222 shares @ 5.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$16.79
$4.29
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?
300 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.90
$1.00
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
558 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.65
$0.65
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?$1.35Jun 4, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$24.70Jun 4, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$89.30Jun 2, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$3.00Jun 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?$0.96Jun 1, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?$14.45Jun 1, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?$105.82Jun 1, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?$1.60Jun 1, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on June 30, 2026?$10.28May 31, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on June 30, 2026?$10.30May 31, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.20 and $3.50 on June 30, 2026?$10.33May 31, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.50 on June 30, 2026?$10.36May 31, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1540 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$10.09May 31, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$10.23May 31, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?$20.35May 31, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?$15.40May 31, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?$100.81May 31, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$100.72May 31, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$51.32May 31, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$23.44May 31, 20:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $23.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 20:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".