Tough-Aim
0x492ff617243570039306703c03712c7ceceabc51
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
125
Open notional
$298.30
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$0.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
62 shares @ 67.4¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.86
$-2.14
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
131 shares @ 29.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$39.35
$0.35
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
316 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.16
$-26.84
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
402 shares @ 11.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.93
$-15.97
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
258 shares @ 38.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.67
$-70.33
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
94 shares @ 53.4¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.63
$-22.38
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
22 shares @ 76.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$16.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$12.29
$0.09
- YES
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26?
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$12.11
$-0.09
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
17 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$11.94
$-0.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD Concepción vs. CD Huachipato: Both Teams to Score$76.65May 24, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?$22.59May 24, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$53.64May 24, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?$16.17May 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$16.25May 24, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$44.00May 24, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: March$41.60May 24, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 0.5$130.16May 24, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?$16.72May 24, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5$18.82May 24, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 1.5$50.46May 24, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23?$173.78May 24, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?$28.79May 24, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23?$110.96May 24, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23?$14.11May 24, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-23?$41.94May 23, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?$35.29May 23, 22:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?$23.38May 23, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $37.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".