Untimely-Mangrove
0x49b2f43fd1dbff994bc597a806c57b68eb034aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
99
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-15.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1119 shares @ 68.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$341.26
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1026 shares @ 78.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$856.41
$56.41
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
1020 shares @ 49.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$596.94
$96.94
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
353 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$319.41
$19.41
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2410 shares @ 8.3¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$189.16
$-10.84
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
4000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-15?
2000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
1952 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-390.40
- YES
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-28?
1557 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-08?
1553 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$131.70Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-09?$104.54Jun 9, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-06-09?$236.62Jun 9, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-09?$241.87Jun 9, 19:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-06?$241.90Jun 7, 23:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-06?$114.41Jun 7, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-06?$100.33Jun 6, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$214.29Jun 6, 23:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $206.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 22:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.