Rotten-Verb
0x49dabac1fc54572b17691a32aa3273d7c72f0f6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$633.71
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-134.70
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
606 shares @ 33.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$184.85
$-15.15
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
634 shares @ 26.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$155.37
$-9.51
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
933 shares @ 14.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$135.30
$-0.69
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
407 shares @ 24.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$91.56
$-8.44
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
1333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$58.67
$-21.33
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
231 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$7.96
$-1.04
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5888 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.44
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
3472 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-494.99
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.82Jun 3, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.80Jun 3, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$46.00Jun 2, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$103.77Jun 2, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$100.00Jun 2, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$90.00Jun 2, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$100.00Jun 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.88Jun 2, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$154.00Jun 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$30.00Jun 2, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$9.00Jun 2, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$50.00Jun 2, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$64.00May 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$26.84May 27, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLGTA 6 launch postponed again?$37.11May 27, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$24.00May 26, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$24.63May 26, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$72.50May 25, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$15.33May 25, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$56.87May 25, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $51.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".