Concrete-Horn
0x49e5ff724de534a9b3bdc666b3b6878de234f527
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$3.4K
Total PnL
$56.85
Realised
$6.21
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
498 shares @ 91.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$460.52
$5.34
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
407 shares @ 84.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$368.12
$23.12
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$187.00
$3.00
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
221 shares @ 77.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$186.68
$15.76
- NO
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
187 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$158.79
$1.79
- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
169 shares @ 92.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.43
$0.32
- NO
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
151 shares @ 89.8¢·now 90.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.86
$1.63
- NO
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?
117 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.39
$2.56
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.80
$0.00
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
111 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$102.35
$0.84
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 13, 2026?$37.46Jun 13, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$97.92Jun 13, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$3.49Jun 13, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$46.66Jun 12, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$46.66Jun 12, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?$29.17Jun 12, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAny US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?$12.52Jun 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLAny US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?$68.42Jun 12, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$29.47Jun 12, 11:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?$51.90Jun 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$18.82Jun 11, 09:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?$31.01Jun 10, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?$15.54Jun 10, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?$50.00Jun 10, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAny US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?$14.86Jun 10, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4.20Jun 10, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.