Unselfish-Operation
0x4a07a99d0764d355141f476bbf5ce5160e4f54d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-243.73
Realised
$-10.38
Win rate
2%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- YES
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
288 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?
250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- BALTIMORE ORIOLES
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
220 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
191 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will SpaceX raise between $50B and $60B in its IPO?
184 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
175 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.64Aug 18, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins$2.05Aug 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. New York Mets$1.03Aug 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.02Aug 17, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.00Aug 15, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.12Aug 15, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 6?$0.15Aug 5, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$1.00Jul 28, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals AND Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics$1.00Jul 28, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants AND Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics$1.00Jul 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets AND Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays AND Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$1.00Jul 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.15Jul 23, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$0.05Jul 21, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$1.05Jul 19, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?$1.04Jul 19, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$1.05Jul 19, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$1.04Jul 19, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5$3.01Jul 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$2.03Jul 17, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$2.06Jul 17, 13:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
46 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $2.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.