Hard-To-Find-Mascara
0x4a259c5200b5ebaeb228cc595ec75742db66a835
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$20.56
Total PnL
$-67.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$5.06
$1.06
- NO
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
5 shares @ 64.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$4.62
$1.62
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.92
$1.92
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.79
$1.79
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: Obama
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Justin Hood win the PDC World Darts Championship?
124 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will Luke Humphries win the PDC World Darts Championship?
63 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Jordan Stolz record the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
30 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-27?
27 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: 2026$2.00Mar 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Obama$3.00Mar 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: March$2.00Mar 23, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$4.00Mar 23, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-03-27?$4.00Mar 23, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$3.00Mar 23, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$3.00Mar 23, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$4.00Mar 23, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$4.00Mar 23, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?$5.00Mar 4, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$9.09Mar 1, 15:23 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition$5.00Feb 28, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jorrit Bergsma (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 22, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$5.00Feb 18, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorrit Bergsma (NED) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.60Feb 15, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$3.54Feb 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.02Feb 15, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$3.30Feb 15, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan Stolz (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's 500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$7.00Feb 15, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Men's Team Pursuit at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.80Feb 15, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 13:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.