Ironclad-Forte
0x4a3dde7942b7834b631c85dd6da8dfcc4ecce051
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
73
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-394.94
Realised
$42.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
5588 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.40
- NO
Will Opinion launch a token by September 30, 2026?
1600 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1450 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1008 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
767 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
634 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
554 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$24.14Apr 27, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $80M one day after launch?$24.13Apr 27, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$7.98Apr 26, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $80M one day after launch?$7.84Apr 26, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$5.00Apr 26, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$12.50Apr 26, 13:18 UTC
- TRADESELLGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)$97.65Apr 26, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpace FDV above $80M one day after launch?$37.99Apr 26, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)$25.00Apr 26, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$38.91Apr 26, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$40.06Apr 26, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$9.75Apr 2, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.00Apr 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$2.00Apr 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 2, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$10.00Apr 2, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$3.60Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner$34.40Apr 2, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winner$5.30Apr 2, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$1.00Feb 24, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 13:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 05:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.