Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?
Probability
50¢
1h
-0.7pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+30.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 50¢; -0.7pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 23.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6012.7h
- 16:19SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:18PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 50¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.7pp
to 50¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 50¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 50¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 50¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 51¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 51¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 52¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.7pp
to 53¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.6pp
to 51¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.9pp
to 51¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.9pp
to 51¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.6pp
to 48¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.6pp
to 50¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.1pp
to 50¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.2pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.4pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.9pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.3pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.6pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.6pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.7pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 66¢+13.5pp
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $37.81
- 13¢+1.1pp
Space FDV above $120M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $150.36
- 48¢0.0pp
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢+3.2pp
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 27¢+19.3pp
Space FDV above $140M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $28.93
- 7¢-13.1pp
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $61.40
- 31¢-1.8pp
Space FDV above $160M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 83¢+7.5pp
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $1.1K
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.8M
- 71¢+4.0pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 1¢-1.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+35.4pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Space's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Space (https://x.com/intodotspace) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (23.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Fearless-Celsius2.0K
- Icy-Conviction2.0K
- Gentle-Steeple1.5K
- Solid-Affinity1.0K
- Outstanding-Burial500