Dutiful-Wall
0x4a59a4b7d5cf3f20f645bd42a66ab247a359a320
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$633.92
Total PnL
$107.67
Realised
$12.75
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- U 84.5
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
555 shares @ 65.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$474.52
$113.77
- NO
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
119 shares @ 24.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.15
$72.59
- YES
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
588 shares @ 25.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$55.86
$-91.14
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.40
$-0.31
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Drake's next album debut No.1 on Billboard 200?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Phoenix Suns win more than 30.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stranger Things: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 9, 2025)$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Maduro out in 2025 Over 25% by Friday?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 7?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 6?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Women's Sports" or "Transgender" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "President" be said at the Oscars?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Guillotine" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMOlympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMDundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $168.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.