Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
Probability
32¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3905.8h
- 10:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3906h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 31¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 31¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 31¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 30¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 27¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 27¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 31¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 35¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 35¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 35¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 35¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 35¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 36¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 36¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "O 84.5" if the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Toronto Blue Jays to record more than 84.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 84.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Oct 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.mlb.com/standings/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (15.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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