Elated-Policeman
0x4a6b0cb16bea54a4c7b53c69f8c1565b0bac3ac1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
82
Open notional
$37.30
Total PnL
$-182.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
387 shares @ 16.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.36
$-39.64
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$1.64
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
5 shares @ 36.8¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during January press conference?$6.25Jan 31, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.00Jan 21, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$1.04Jan 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$1.29Jan 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$1.23Jan 21, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$9.00Jan 19, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Colombia" this week? (January 11)$1.05Jan 12, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$50.00Jan 10, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$3.00Jan 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: GGEZ vs LIT Esport (BO1)$3.17Jan 8, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$2.00Jan 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?$1.00Jan 8, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 8, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: GGEZ vs LIT Esport (BO1)$3.00Jan 8, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$1.33Jan 8, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.44Jan 8, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-08?$9.00Jan 8, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score$1.00Jan 8, 07:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 05:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".