Green-Leprosy
0x4a74423861266dd7d353ca28827f83bc4dcfd69e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$8.0K
Total PnL
$-836.13
Realised
$236.44
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3660 shares @ 83.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.0K
$-34.89
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$915.00
$25.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1000 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$835.00
$135.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
848 shares @ 75.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$784.32
$148.38
- NO
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
752 shares @ 87.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$703.46
$42.37
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
600 shares @ 83.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$594.30
$94.30
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
250 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$249.13
$29.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 26.1¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$232.50
$-28.50
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
213 shares @ 87.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$210.81
$25.83
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
200 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$197.60
$23.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.37Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$1.03Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?$184.98Jun 10, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.44Jun 8, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$0.06Jun 7, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.17Jun 7, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$138.61Jun 7, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$462.97Jun 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$30.23Jun 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.79Jun 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.70Jun 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.00Jun 7, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.24Jun 7, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$8.70Jun 7, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.00Jun 7, 21:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $203.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.