Mushy-Stimulus
0x4a8562928ff018fb20af4a536f9fe05357e4c04b
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$54.21
Total PnL
$-69.25
Realised
$29.08
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?
31 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.27
$0.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.05
$0.15
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
50 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.75
$-1.75
- YES
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
15 shares @ 8.8¢·now 37.4¢·exp Jan 18, 2027$5.74
$4.38
- NO
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$4.40
$-0.20
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1060 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.30
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
170 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.30
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 8?
100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?
90 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 2, 2026?$0.1434m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 4, 2026?$8.9010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?$17.8810h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?$10.0410h ago
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$55.9920h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$3.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$2.671d ago
- TRADESELLNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $5.151d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$2.532d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026?$21.822d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$19.982d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$18.633d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$2.873d ago
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$18.553d ago
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$4.893d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026?$17.404d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$4.604d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$0.704d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?$0.664d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?$8.804d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9d ago
- Last active
- 34m ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".