Positive-Acceptance
0x4aa7f2b72cbc74d0fe1332ef681593af03745458
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-23.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
3131 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
717 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-272.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?
141 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-113.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
117 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.63
- SWITZERLAND
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
51 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-31.11
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
43 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 24?
12 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 23?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$43.00Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$29.95Jun 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$7.93Jun 13, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$31.47Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- REDEEMKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$35.00Jun 12, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKorea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5$15.31Jun 11, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by May 31, 2026?$47.05Jun 3, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by May 31, 2026?$1.5KJun 1, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by May 31, 2026?$50.00Jun 1, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$3.0KMay 29, 06:52 UTC
- REWARD$2.45May 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$780.00May 26, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$815.99May 26, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$135.99May 26, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$920.00May 26, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$93.12May 25, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$669.90May 25, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$124.09May 25, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$91.00May 25, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1.5KMay 25, 05:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $878.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.